Sunday 17 June 2012

Asset classes, investment returns and portfolio construction

 Don’t we all want to retire comfortably? Don’t we all wish that we could get the return we want and need from our investments? Do you know inflation beating investment returns depend on correct asset class allocation?

If your investment returns do not beat inflation its value will have actually decreased.  Simply put, inflation is a measure of how costs increase.  R 100,000 in today’s terms is a lot less than it was 15, 10 or even 5 years ago. So when you invest you need to ensure that you have the right asset classes proportioned correctly within your portfolio.

I have focused this analysis on the following asset classes. As an investor you should already be invested in one or all of these:
·         Local equity,
·         Offshore equities,
·         Property, &
·         Cash.

If you get your asset class balance wrong it will mean the difference between investing to create wealth and just investing.

Table showing returns generated over a 10 year period based on a single fund used per asset class:
Asset class
% Allocation per asset class
Equity
100
55
-
-
-
34
Offshr Eq
-
30
-
-
100
33
Property
-
15
-
100
-
33
Cash
-
-
100
-
-
-
Real Return p.a. **
14.7
9.5
3
13.5
-3.1
8.8

Investment values using these returns over different periods:
Yrs
Investment return on R100 per month (in advance)*
Capital
14.7 % p.a.
9.5 % p.a.
3 % p.a.
10
R12,000
R 26,857
R 20,181
R 14,009
15
R18,000
R 63,759
R 40,276
R 22,754
30
R36,000
R 609,559
R209,302
R 58,419

Notice the difference a few percent’s make in returns? How about the returns compared to capital invested?
If you get your allocation wrong your wealth has been seriously eroded. You might as well just stash your cash under your bed and hope it doesn’t get stolen.  Get your asset allocation correct from the start and you should benefit through superior returns. 

My goal here is to make you more aware of what you are investing in.  Often I get the answer:  ‘I don’t know’ when I ask the question:  ‘What are you invested in?’ We must stay on top of our investment and its returns as time is something we can never get back. You can’t turn around just before retirement and try to recoup missed returns and compounding on your investment.  Do it while you have time to grow your wealth.

Funds used in this analysis: Allan Gray Equity Fund, Coronation World Equity FOF, Marriott Property Equity fund & Investec Money Market.
** -From IAM portfolio creation tool using % allocation
* -Investment returns compounded monthly at nominal interest rates.